Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000798 0.000855 0.000914 0.000982 0.001057 0.001137 0.001230
2025-12-28 0.000681 0.000753 0.000833 0.000928 0.001038 0.001163 0.001317
2026-01-04 0.000610 0.000691 0.000782 0.000894 0.001029 0.001190 0.001396
2026-01-11 0.000567 0.000654 0.000754 0.000882 0.001041 0.001235 0.001496
2026-01-18 0.000536 0.000628 0.000736 0.000877 0.001058 0.001287 0.001605
2026-01-25 0.000579 0.000692 0.000831 0.001019 0.001269 0.001601 0.002090
2026-02-01 0.000538 0.000651 0.000791 0.000982 0.001244 0.001599 0.002137
2026-02-08 0.000507 0.000618 0.000760 0.000956 0.001229 0.001608 0.002200
2026-02-15 0.000485 0.000597 0.000741 0.000944 0.001233 0.001644 0.002303
2026-02-22 0.000460 0.000571 0.000715 0.000921 0.001219 0.001651 0.002362
2026-03-01 0.000434 0.000542 0.000684 0.000889 0.001188 0.001630 0.002374
2026-03-08 0.000416 0.000524 0.000666 0.000874 0.001183 0.001648 0.002448
2026-03-15 0.000395 0.000501 0.000644 0.000855 0.001175 0.001668 0.002544
2026-03-22 0.000367 0.000468 0.000605 0.000810 0.001126 0.001620 0.002518
2026-03-29 0.000346 0.000444 0.000578 0.000782 0.001100 0.001607 0.002553
2026-04-05 0.000332 0.000430 0.000565 0.000772 0.001102 0.001638 0.002672
2026-04-12 0.000322 0.000419 0.000556 0.000769 0.001113 0.001686 0.002827
2026-04-19 0.000346 0.000459 0.000622 0.000886 0.001331 0.002120 0.003833
2026-04-26 0.000329 0.000438 0.000597 0.000856 0.001298 0.002094 0.003862
2026-05-03 0.000314 0.000421 0.000577 0.000834 0.001278 0.002091 0.003941
2026-05-10 0.000304 0.000410 0.000565 0.000824 0.001278 0.002126 0.004117
2026-05-17 0.000292 0.000396 0.000549 0.000805 0.001261 0.002125 0.004203
2026-05-24 0.000279 0.000379 0.000527 0.000778 0.001226 0.002087 0.004194